Service Plays Friday 12/19/08

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MARC LAWERENCE PLAYBOOK


HOOPS

INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK

Richmond is 1-22-1 ATS in its last twenty-four SU
home losses versus non-conference opponents



COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Friday, December 19
Wake Forest over RICHMOND by 16
In a season fi lled with good basketball teams, the Demon Deacons continue to fl y under the radar despite their 9-0 start. 2nd year head coach Dino Gaudio led Wake to a 17-win effort last season and returns all 5 starters from that squad. Picked to fi nish behind North Carolina, Duke and Miami in the ACC this season, they’ve served notice they will be a force to be reckoned with once conference play starts next month. The Deacs have knocked off Richmond in each of the last 15 games in this series and are 5-1 ATS on this fl oor. Toss in the Demons’ 23-3 ATS mark in SU non-conference road wins and we’re suddenly real excited. Our INCREDIBLE STAT tops it off. Wake up and do this.





NBA BASKETBALL

Friday, December 19
DENVER over Cleveland by 14
What a difference Chauncey makes! Since shedding the selfi sh moves of
Allen Iverson in exchange for Chauncey Billups, the Nuggets have new
life. That’s evidenced by their recent climb in the standings. Tonight
they will look to avenge a 110-99 defeat suffered at the ‘Q’ in Cleveland
earlier this season and we like their chances. The Cavs’ recent winning
run keeps this game affordable. With C Zydrunas Ilgauskas in and out
of the lineup with injuries and the Cavs in the 3rd of a 4-game road trip,
look for Denver to improve to 10-3 SU and 9-4 ATS in this series and to
14-3 SU and ATS on Fridays here tonight. We pan for gold and come up
with the Nuggets!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pointwise Basketball

NBA Key Releases (rated 1-4, with 1 being the highest)

NBA Key Selections
4--Denver over Cleveland (12/19) 116-103
2--Atlanta over Golden State 105-92

Best of the rest
12/19--Philly, Utah

NCAA Key Releases
12/19 none

Best of the Rest
12/19 none listed

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Raging Bull Handicappers

December 19, 2008

We had another incredible day going 7-2, with two HUGE winners in the UEFA Cup! The free service plays will only be offered for a short time longer.

Soccer:

1* Racing Genk/Anderlecht over 3 even (Belgian Jupiler League)
2* Man United/Quito over 2.5 -150 (FIFA Club World Cup, this game is being played Sunday December 21 at 5:30 AM Eastern. We wanted to get this game out early so you don't miss it.)

NBA:

1* Raptors -6
1* Nuggets pk
2* Kings +13

NHL:

1* Kings/Sabres over 5.5 -125
1* Blackhawks/Flames over 5.5 -130

NCAAB:

None today

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Colts (-6) Thursday night.

Friday it's Charleston. The deficit is 445 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Daniel Curry Pro Hockey Index

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->DCI Hockey Predictions:

Season: 165-101 (.620)

NEW JERSEY 3, Ottawa 2
BUFFALO 3, Los Angeles 2
MINNESOTA 3, N.Y. Islanders 2
CALGARY 4, Chicago 3
Anaheim vs. EDMONTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dr. Bob

Rotation #205 Memphis (+12 1/2) 3-Stars at +11 or more, 2-Stars down to +10.

Rotation #215 Florida Atlantic (+6 1/2) 2-Stars at +6 or more, 3-Stars at +7 (-1.15 odds or better) or more.

Rotation #217 West Virginia (pick) 2-Stars at -2 1/2 or less.

Rotation #225 NC State (+8) 3-Stars at +7 or more, 2-Stars from +6 1/2 to +4.

Rotation #231 Western Michigan (+3) 2-Stars at +3 (-120 or better). Strong Opinion as dog of less than 3.

Rotation #241 Minnesota (+10) 2-Stars at +8 or more.

Rotation #254 Cincinnati (-2) 3-Stars at -2 1/2 or less, 2-Stars at -3 (-1.20 odds or less).

Rotation #263 Ohio State (+9) 2-Stars at +7 or more, 3-Stars at +10 or more.<!-- / message -->

 

[polishrebel]

GMC-NBA 511- Milwaukee Money line (HUGE), NHL-9-Chicago (HUGE)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JIM FEIST

SACRAMENTO KINGS / HOUSTON ROCKETS
Take HOUSTON ROCKETS

Houston plays outstanding defense at home, and in to town comes the struggling/rebuilding Kings. Sacramento is on a 2-8 SU, 3-7 ATS run. They are off an ugly 109-77 loss at Portland, and it doesn't get any easier here. Tracy McGrady notched his fourth career triple-double and first this season, Yao Ming scored 32 points and the Rockets beat the Denver Nuggets 108-96 on Tuesday night. McGrady had 20 points and reached season highs in rebounds (14) and assists (10). McGrady has been bothered by a sore left knee all season, but he looked as spry as ever. Houston improved to 70-6 at the Toyota Center when they reach 100 points! Sacramento is 2-10 on the road. Play the Rockets.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DAVE COKIN

CHARLOTTE BOBCATS / MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
Take MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES

Free opinion is on the Grizzlies laying a small number at home to Charlotte. The Bobcats have been solid as road dogs to be sure, but I like the way Memphis is playing right now and feel they have enough to get it done tonight.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy The Moose

Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames
Prediction: Chicago Blackhawks

Blackhawks playing very well right now have won 5 straight and 6 of their last 7 games. Chicago has won their last 4 vs. Western Conference opponents. In their last 4 games following a win they are 4-0. This will be Calgary's 3rd game in 4 nights and in their last 6 times in this situation they are 1-5. The Flames have lost 3 of their last 5 games. Chicago has won 5 of their last 7 trips to Calgary. Play on the Chicago Blackhawks +.

 

[brady1983]

Larry Ness' 25-Club-NBA (1st TY!)

Larry extended his current BKB run to SIX-IN-A-ROW, winning with Troy in CBB and Portland in the NBA (Thu). What better time for one of his 25-Club plays, which represent his 25 years in the business and carries a 10* rating! It's his 1st 25-Club of TY's NBA season (did win in CBB w/Okla on Nov 26) and it's "not to be missed!"


Detroit Pistons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Fri (CBB) Wake Forest
Fri (NBA) Cavaliers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RAS

#529 NC Wilm +16' 1 Unit

 

[DaGreek23]

Brandon Lang
Friday College Hoops ...
5 Dime Richmond - Analysis due back by 2 p.m. eastern

FREE - New Orleans (college hoops)

 

[JoeDirt-]

beat your bookie

Beat Your Bookie

Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Friday

NBA Basketball


100* Play Boston (-12) over Chicago (NBA)

Chicago is 2-11 ATS coming off a win by 6 points or less
Chicago is 8-19 ATS after scoring 105 points or more in the last game



100* Play Houston (-13) over Sacramento (NBA)

Sacramento is 3-16 SU as an underdog this season
Sacramento is 2-10 SU in road games this season
Sacramento is 0-4 SU in road games when the total is between 200 and
204.5



Bonus Hoops & Hockey Plays

50* Play Buffalo (-175) over Los Angeles (NHL)

50* Play West Carolina (+17) over Marquette (NCAA)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

L.A. Lakers (21-3, 11-13 ATS) at Miami (12-12, 8-15-1 ATS)

The Lakers open a four-game road trip with a stop at the American Airlines Arena in South Beach for a meeting with the slumping Heat.

Los Angeles has won four straight and seven of its last eight, but the Lakers have struggled at the betting window, going 0-7 ATS since December 5, all as a double-digit favorite. They beat the Knicks 116-114 on Tuesday but came nowhere near covering as a 13-point home chalk. The Lakers are 7-2 SU (5-4 ATS) on the highway this season, and the last time they hit the road they fell 113-101 in Sacramento as 11½-point favorites.

Miami has dropped three straight, including two in a row in front of the home fans, most recently falling 98-83 at home to the Bucks on Monday as a 3½-point chalk. The Heat are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games, and they are just 4-8 ATS in Miami this season. Star Dwyane Wade leads the NBA in scoring at 28 points a game, but he’s averaged just 17.7 points during his team’s three-game losing streak.

Los Angeles has won three straight over the Heat and gone 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings dating back to 2003. Last season, the Lakers got a 104-94 win in Miami as 7½-point favorites, then blew out the Heat 106-88 in Los Angeles as a 14-point chalk. Los Angeles’ Lamar Odom had 15 points, 18 rebounds and six assists last time he was in Miami, and he’s averaged 13.3 points, 15 boards and 5.7 assists in three games against his former team.

In addition to their 0-7 overall ATS rut, the Lakers are on a bevy of negative ATS trends, including 3-15 against the Eastern Conference, 0-5 when getting two days off and 1-4 on Fridays. Meanwhile, the Heat haven’t been very good at the betting window either, going 19-41 ATS in their last 60 home games, 3-13 ATS in their last 16 when getting three days off, 1-9 ATS in their last 10 at home against teams with a winning road record and 1-4 ATS in their last five against the Western Conference.

For Los Angeles, the over is on runs of 4-1 overall, 9-2 against the Eastern Conference, 8-3 following a straight-up win and 15-7 on Fridays. The Heat are on “over” streaks of 5-2 at home and 6-1 against Pacific Division teams, but the under is 20-8 in their last 28 games after a straight-up loss. In this rivalry, the under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings overall and 4-0 in the last four in Miami.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


Utah (16-11, 15-12 ATS) at Detroit (14-9, 11-12 ATS)


The Jazz will try to make it seven in straight wins over the Pistons when they visit the Palace at Auburn Hills for a showdown with Detroit.

Utah has won six straight (5-1 ATS) and eight of nine SU and ATS against Detroit dating back to 2004. The Jazz went to Detroit last season and got a 103-93 win as a one-point favorite, then followed that up with a 103-95 home win as a two-point chalk. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head-to-head meetings, and Utah has cashed in each of its last four trips to Detroit.

The Jazz snapped a two-game losing streak with Wednesday’s 103-92 road win in New Jersey, cashing as 2½-point favorites. Utah, which rallied from a 27-7 first-quarter deficit against the Nets, is in the midst of a five-game Eastern Conference road trip and has cashed in five of its last six on the highway after starting the season 2-5 ATS on the highway.

Detroit has rattled off three straight wins (2-1 ATS) after a three-game SU and ATS losing streak in early December. On Wednesday, the Pistons downed Washington 88-74, cashing as a 9½-point home chalk. Allen Iverson had 28 points and six rebounds in the victory, giving him his first back-to-back 20-plus point games since joining the Pistons. Detroit is just 4-7 ATS in its 11 home games this season.

Utah is on ATS runs of 5-2 overall, 6-2 as an underdog and 6-1 when playing on a day of rest. Detroit is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 against the Western Conference, but the Pistons are on ATS slides of 3-10 against the Northwest Division, 2-5 as a favorite and 2-5 on Fridays.

For the Jazz, the over is on streaks of 4-0-1 overall, 4-0-1 as an underdog and 6-0-1 against the Eastern Conference. Conversely, Detroit is on “under” streaks of 11-3 overall, 7-2 at home, 8-3 as a favorite and 4-0 against the Western Conference and 5-1 following a spread-cover. In this series, the over is 5-0 in the last five meetings overall and 4-1 in the last five clashes in Detroit.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UTAH


Cleveland (21-4, 20-5 ATS) at Denver (17-8, 15-9-1 ATS)

The marquee game of the night comes from the Pepsi Center in Denver, where the Nuggets welcome the Cavaliers in a showdown of two of the hottest teams in the NBA.

Cleveland has won 12 of its last 13 SU and ATS, and after having its 11-game winning streak snapped on Saturday in Atlanta, the Cavs bounced back to blow out Minnesota 93-70 on Wednesday as a 10-point road chalk. LeBron James scored 32 points against the Timberwolves, he’s averaging 27.3 points per game this season and he’s the only player in the NBA averaging more than 20 points, six rebounds and six assists per contest.

Denver had a four-game winning streak snapped Tuesday in Houston, falling 108-96 as a four-point ‘dog. The Nuggets had previously won seven of eight (6-2 ATS), including four of five at home (3-2 ATS). Since the arrival of Chauncey Billups, Denver is 16-5 (12-8-1 ATS), and the team’s once porous defense is now holding the opposition to 42.7 percent shooting, third best in the NBA behind Boston and Cleveland.

George Karl’s Nuggets had won five straight (4-1 ATS) in this rivalry until they went to Cleveland on Nov. 13 and fell 110-99 as seven-point ‘dogs. However, Denver has won three in a row over the Cavs in the Mile High City (2-1 ATS), including last season’s 122-100 blowout win, easily cashing as an eight-point favorite. The chalk is 4-1 ATS in the last five head-to-head battles.

Cleveland is on a plethora of positive ATS streaks, including 35-17 overall, 5-1 on the road, 6-0 against the Western Conference, 20-8 against the Northwest Division, 20-8 when getting a day off and 19-7 after a spread-cover. Denver is just 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven against the Central Division, but otherwise the Nuggets are on ATS upswings of 16-5 on Fridays, 35-17-1 against the Eastern Conference and 6-1-1 after a non-cover.

The Cavaliers are on “under” runs of 8-3 overall, 9-3 against the Northwest Division, 20-9-1 against the Western Conference and 7-3 after a straight-up win. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are on “over” streaks of 9-3 overall, 7-1 at home, 20-7 against the Central Division and 8-2 in Friday contests.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Ryan

New Orleans at Louisiana Monroe
Prediction: New Orleans

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on New Orleans (CBB) AiS shows a 79% probability that NO will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 41-14 for 75% since 2002. Play against a home team off a road loss by 10 points or more facing an opponent off a road win scoring 85 or more points. Here is a second system that has gone 48-18 ATS for 73% since 2002. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road win and with just one or fewer starters returning from last season. Louisiana Monroe is just 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. New Orleans has shot over 50% in their last 2 games and have had just 1 game shooting under 35%. LM has shot under 35% in 5 games and has not shot better than 50% all season. The highest they have shot is 43.5 against Steven F. Austin and they only defeated them by 2 points. In their last game they shot a horrid 27.1% and allowed 53% shooting to LA-Lafayette. Take New Orleans.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Reywan experts
NCAAB
WCAR +17.5
--------
Soccer expert
Fenerbache Stabul to win

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wunderdog Horse picks

FAIR GROUNDS Race #5 at 3:20 PM Eastern

Top pick: #10 (DIAMOND TYCOON) - Colt did not race well in England, but with the addition of lasix in his first U.S. race he went right to the lead and was caught in the last few strides, losing by a neck. Any move forward off of that one will win this.​

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2nd pick: #5 (He's Solid Gold) - Sharpened in a sprint last out, top Canadian trainer Malcolm Pierce will send him a route off of that prep race. Has the talent to compete here, and at a square price.​

3rd pick: #1 (House of Silver) - Hasn't raced since March, but his trainer (Wally Dollase) has a track record of doing well with his returning grass specialists. Gelding has been in very steady training for the past three months, so he should be fit enough.​

4th pick: #6 (Gasconade) - Another returnee, but he's only been away two-months and would appear off his past to do well with that type of break. Ran very well when last seen on the Keeneland poly. Exotics contender.​